Opportunities and risks report
The goal of BASF’s risk management is to identify and evaluate opportunities and risks as early as possible and to take appropriate measures in order to seize opportunities and limit business losses. The aim here is to avoid risks that pose a threat to BASF’s continued existence and to make improved managerial decisions to create lasting value. We understand risk to be any event that can negatively impact the achievement of our short-term operational or long-term strategic goals. We define opportunities as possible successes that exceed our defined goals.
Opportunities
Potential successes that exceed our defined goals
Risks
Events that can negatively impact the achievement of our goals
Risk management
Identifying opportunities and risks as early as possible and planning effective courses of action
In order to effectively measure and manage identified opportunities and risks, we quantify these in terms of probability and economic impact in the event they occur. We use statistical methods to aggregate opportunities and risks into risk factors. This way, we achieve an overall view of opportunities and risks at a portfolio level, allowing us to take effective measures for risk management.
Overall assessment
- Significant risks and opportunities arise from overall economic developments and volatility in exchange rates and margins
- No threat to continued existence of BASF
We expect the global economy to continue to grow in the next two years. We continue to see significant risks in a considerable slowdown of the Chinese economy. Such a development would negatively impact demand for intermediate goods and investment goods, and affect emerging markets that export raw materials as well as the advanced economies. Any escalation of geopolitical conflicts also poses risks to the global economy. Important opportunities and risks for our earnings are also associated with uncertainty regarding growth in Europe, the development of key customer industries, and volatility in foreign currency exchange rates and margins.
Potential short-term effects on EBIT of key opportunity and risk factors subsequent to measures taken1 |
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Possible variations related to: |
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Outlook |
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Business environment and sector |
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Market growth |
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Margins |
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Competition |
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Regulation/policy |
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Company-specific opportunities and risks |
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Purchasing/supply chain |
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Investments/production |
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Personnel |
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Acquisitions/cooperations |
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Information technology |
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Law |
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Finance |
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Exchange rate volatility |
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Other financial opportunities and risks |
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According to our assessment, there continue to be no significant individual risks that pose a threat to the continued existence of the BASF Group. The same applies to the sum of individual risks, even in the case of another global economic crisis.
Ultimately, however, residual risks remain in all entrepreneurial activities which even comprehensive risk management cannot exclude.